Portrait de David Rolnick

David Rolnick

Membre académique principal
Chaire en IA Canada-CIFAR
Professeur adjoint, McGill University, École d'informatique
Professeur associé, Université de Montréal, Département d'informatique et de recherche opérationnelle
Sujets de recherche
Apprentissage automatique appliqué
Apprentissage automatique dans la modélisation climatique
Apprentissage automatique et changement climatique
Apprentissage automatique pour les sciences physiques
Biodiversité
Changement climatique
Climat
Détection hors distribution (OOD)
IA et durabilité
IA pour la science
IA pour le changement climatique
Modélisation climatique
Prévision des séries temporelles
Réduction d'échelle des variables climatiques
Science du climat
Surveillance des forêts
Systèmes de gestion de l'énergie des bâtiments
Systèmes énergétiques
Technologie de conservation
Télédétection
Télédétection par satellite
Théorie de l'apprentissage automatique
Végétation
Vision par ordinateur

Biographie

David Rolnick est professeur adjoint et titulaire d’une chaire en IA Canada-CIFAR à l'École d'informatique de l'Université McGill et membre académique principal de Mila – Institut québécois d’intelligence artificielle. Ses travaux portent sur les applications de l'apprentissage automatique dans la lutte contre le changement climatique. Il est cofondateur et président de Climate Change AI et codirecteur scientifique de Sustainability in the Digital Age. David Rolnick a obtenu un doctorat en mathématiques appliquées du Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT). Il a été chercheur postdoctoral en sciences mathématiques à la National Science Foundation (NSF), chercheur diplômé à la NSF et boursier Fulbright. Il a figuré sur la liste des « 35 innovateurs de moins de 35 ans » de la MIT Technology Review en 2021.

Étudiants actuels

Collaborateur·rice de recherche - Cambridge University
Co-superviseur⋅e :
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - McGill
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - N/A
Co-superviseur⋅e :
Collaborateur·rice de recherche
Collaborateur·rice de recherche
Visiteur de recherche indépendant - Politecnico di Milano
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - Johannes Kepler University
Maîtrise recherche - McGill
Visiteur de recherche indépendant - Université de Montréal
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - Polytechnique Montréal
Superviseur⋅e principal⋅e :
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - University of Waterloo
Co-superviseur⋅e :
Maîtrise recherche - McGill
Maîtrise recherche - McGill
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - University of Tübingen
Visiteur de recherche indépendant - Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
Visiteur de recherche indépendant
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
Collaborateur·rice alumni - UdeM
Superviseur⋅e principal⋅e :
Collaborateur·rice de recherche
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL)
Co-superviseur⋅e :
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - Technical University of Munich

Publications

Causal Climate Emulation with Bayesian Filtering
Traditional models of climate change use complex systems of coupled equations to simulate physical processes across the Earth system. These … (voir plus)simulations are highly computationally expensive, limiting our predictions of climate change and analyses of its causes and effects. Machine learning has the potential to quickly emulate data from climate models, but current approaches are not able to incorporate physically-based causal relationships. Here, we develop an interpretable climate model emulator based on causal representation learning. We derive a novel approach including a Bayesian filter for stable long-term autoregressive emulation. We demonstrate that our emulator learns accurate climate dynamics, and we show the importance of each one of its components on a realistic synthetic dataset and data from two widely deployed climate models.
Open-Insect: Benchmarking Open-Set Recognition of Novel Species in Biodiversity Monitoring
Nico Lang
B. Christian Schmidt
Yves Basset
Sara Beery
Maxim Larrivée
Global biodiversity is declining at an unprecedented rate, yet little information is known about most species and how their populations are … (voir plus)changing. Indeed, some 90% of Earth's species are estimated to be completely unknown. Machine learning has recently emerged as a promising tool to facilitate long-term, large-scale biodiversity monitoring, including algorithms for fine-grained classification of species from images. However, such algorithms typically are not designed to detect examples from categories unseen during training -- the problem of open-set recognition (OSR) -- limiting their applicability for highly diverse, poorly studied taxa such as insects. To address this gap, we introduce Open-Insect, a large-scale, fine-grained dataset to evaluate unknown species detection across different geographic regions with varying difficulty. We benchmark 38 OSR algorithms across three categories: post-hoc, training-time regularization, and training with auxiliary data, finding that simple post-hoc approaches remain a strong baseline. We also demonstrate how to leverage auxiliary data to improve species discovery in regions with limited data. Our results provide insights to guide the development of computer vision methods for biodiversity monitoring and species discovery.
Deploying Geospatial Foundation Models in the Real World: Lessons from WorldCereal
Christina Butsko
Kristof Van Tricht
Giorgia Milli
Inbal Becker Reshef
Zoltan Szantoi
Hannah Kerner
The increasing availability of geospatial foundation models has the potential to transform remote sensing applications such as land cover cl… (voir plus)assification, environmental monitoring, and change detection. Despite promising benchmark results, the deployment of these models in operational settings is challenging and rare. Standardized evaluation tasks often fail to capture real-world complexities relevant for end-user adoption such as data heterogeneity, resource constraints, and application-specific requirements. This paper presents a structured approach to integrate geospatial foundation models into operational mapping systems. Our protocol has three key steps: defining application requirements, adapting the model to domain-specific data and conducting rigorous empirical testing. Using the Presto model in a case study for crop mapping, we demonstrate that fine-tuning a pre-trained model significantly improves performance over conventional supervised methods. Our results highlight the model’s strong spatial and temporal generalization capabilities. Our protocol provides a replicable blueprint for practitioners and lays the groundwork for future research to operationalize foundation models in diverse remote sensing applications. Application of the protocol to the WorldCereal global crop-mapping system showcases the framework’s scalability.
On Global Applicability and Location Transferability of Generative Deep Learning Models for Precipitation Downscaling
Christian Lessig
Matthew Chantry
A HOT Dataset: 150,000 Buildings for HVAC Operations Transfer Research
About 12% of global energy consumption is attributable to heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems in buildings [11]. Machi… (voir plus)ne learning-based intelligent HVAC control offers significant energy efficiency potential, but progress is constrained by limited data for training and evaluating performance across different kinds of buildings. Existing datasets primarily target energy prediction rather than control applications, forcing studies to rely on limited building sets or single-variable perturbations that fail to capture real-world complexity. We present HOT (HVAC Operations Transfer), the first large-scale open-source dataset purpose-built for research into transfer learning in building control. HOT contains 159,744 unique building-weather combinations with systematic variations across envelope properties, occupancy patterns, and climate conditions spanning all 19 ASHRAE climate zones across 76 global locations. We formalise a comprehensive similarity-based framework with quantitative metrics for assessing transfer feasibility between source and target buildings across multiple context dimensions. Our key contributions: (1) a large-scale, open dataset and tooling enabling systematic, multi-variable transfer studies across 19 climate zones; (2) a quantitative similarity framework spanning geometry, thermal, climate, and function; and (3) zero-shot climate transfer experiments showing why realistic context variation matters for HVAC control.
A HOT Dataset: 150,000 Buildings for HVAC Operations Transfer Research
Galileo: Learning Global&Local Features of Many Remote Sensing Modalities
Anthony Fuller
Henry Herzog
Patrick Beukema
Favyen Bastani
James R Green
Evan Shelhamer
Hannah Kerner
We introduce a highly multimodal transformer to represent many remote sensing modalities - multispectral optical, synthetic aperture radar, … (voir plus)elevation, weather, pseudo-labels, and more - across space and time. These inputs are useful for diverse remote sensing tasks, such as crop mapping and flood detection. However, learning shared representations of remote sensing data is challenging, given the diversity of relevant data modalities, and because objects of interest vary massively in scale, from small boats (1-2 pixels and fast) to glaciers (thousands of pixels and slow). We present a novel self-supervised learning algorithm that extracts multi-scale features across a flexible set of input modalities through masked modeling. Our dual global and local contrastive losses differ in their targets (deep representations vs. shallow input projections) and masking strategies (structured vs. not). Our Galileo is a single generalist model that outperforms SoTA specialist models for satellite images and pixel time series across eleven benchmarks and multiple tasks.
The Butterfly Effect: Neural Network Training Trajectories Are Highly Sensitive to Initial Conditions
Neural network training is inherently sensitive to initialization and the randomness induced by stochastic gradient descent. However, it is … (voir plus)unclear to what extent such effects lead to meaningfully different networks, either in terms of the models' weights or the underlying functions that were learned. In this work, we show that during the initial "chaotic" phase of training, even extremely small perturbations reliably causes otherwise identical training trajectories to diverge-an effect that diminishes rapidly over training time. We quantify this divergence through (i)
HVAC-SPICE: Value-Uncertainty In-Context RL with Thompson Sampling for Zero-Shot HVAC Control
Urban buildings consume 40\% of global energy, yet most rely on inefficient rule-based HVAC systems due to the impracticality of deploying a… (voir plus)dvanced controllers across diverse building stock. In-context reinforcement learning (ICRL) offers promise for rapid deployment without per-building training, but standard supervised learning objectives that maximise likelihood of training actions inherit behaviour-policy bias and provide weak exploration under the distribution shifts common when transferring across buildings and climates. We present SPICE (Sampling Policies In-Context with Ensemble uncertainty), a novel ICRL method specifically designed for zero-shot building control that addresses these fundamental limitations. SPICE introduces two key methodological innovations: (i) a propensity-corrected, return-aware training objective that prioritises high-advantage, high-uncertainty actions to enable improvement beyond suboptimal training demonstrations, and (ii) lightweight value ensembles with randomised priors that provide explicit uncertainty estimates for principled episode-level Thompson sampling. At deployment, SPICE samples one value head per episode and acts greedily, resulting in temporally coherent exploration without test-time gradients or building-specific models. We establish a comprehensive experimental protocol using the HOT dataset to evaluate SPICE across diverse building types and climate zones, focusing on the energy efficiency, occupant comfort, and zero-shot transfer capabilities that are critical for urban-scale deployment.
Graph Dreamer: Temporal Graph World Models for Sample-Efficient and Generalisable Reinforcement Learning
GreenHyperSpectra: A multi-source hyperspectral dataset for global vegetation trait prediction
Luke A. Brown
Phuong D. Dao
Kyle R. Kovach
Bing Lu
Daniel Mederer
Hannes Feilhauer
Teja Kattenborn
Plant traits such as leaf carbon content and leaf mass are essential variables in the study of biodiversity and climate change. However, con… (voir plus)ventional field sampling cannot feasibly cover trait variation at ecologically meaningful spatial scales. Machine learning represents a valuable solution for plant trait prediction across ecosystems, leveraging hyperspectral data from remote sensing. Nevertheless, trait prediction from hyperspectral data is challenged by label scarcity and substantial domain shifts (\eg across sensors, ecological distributions), requiring robust cross-domain methods. Here, we present GreenHyperSpectra, a pretraining dataset encompassing real-world cross-sensor and cross-ecosystem samples designed to benchmark trait prediction with semi- and self-supervised methods. We adopt an evaluation framework encompassing in-distribution and out-of-distribution scenarios. We successfully leverage GreenHyperSpectra to pretrain label-efficient multi-output regression models that outperform the state-of-the-art supervised baseline. Our empirical analyses demonstrate substantial improvements in learning spectral representations for trait prediction, establishing a comprehensive methodological framework to catalyze research at the intersection of representation learning and plant functional traits assessment. All code and data are available at: https://github.com/echerif18/HyspectraSSL.
CISO: Species Distribution Modeling Conditioned on Incomplete Species Observations
Hager Radi Abdelwahed
Mélisande Teng
Robin Zbinden
Laura Pollock
Devis Tuia
Species distribution models (SDMs) are widely used to predict species' geographic distributions, serving as critical tools for ecological re… (voir plus)search and conservation planning. Typically, SDMs relate species occurrences to environmental variables representing abiotic factors, such as temperature, precipitation, and soil properties. However, species distributions are also strongly influenced by biotic interactions with other species, which are often overlooked. While some methods partially address this limitation by incorporating biotic interactions, they often assume symmetrical pairwise relationships between species and require consistent co-occurrence data. In practice, species observations are sparse, and the availability of information about the presence or absence of other species varies significantly across locations. To address these challenges, we propose CISO, a deep learning-based method for species distribution modeling Conditioned on Incomplete Species Observations. CISO enables predictions to be conditioned on a flexible number of species observations alongside environmental variables, accommodating the variability and incompleteness of available biotic data. We demonstrate our approach using three datasets representing different species groups: sPlotOpen for plants, SatBird for birds, and a new dataset, SatButterfly, for butterflies. Our results show that including partial biotic information improves predictive performance on spatially separate test sets. When conditioned on a subset of species within the same dataset, CISO outperforms alternative methods in predicting the distribution of the remaining species. Furthermore, we show that combining observations from multiple datasets can improve performance. CISO is a promising ecological tool, capable of incorporating incomplete biotic information and identifying potential interactions between species from disparate taxa.