Portrait de David Rolnick

David Rolnick

Membre académique principal
Chaire en IA Canada-CIFAR
Professeur adjoint, McGill University, École d'informatique
Professeur associé, Université de Montréal, Département d'informatique et de recherche opérationnelle
Sujets de recherche
Apprentissage automatique appliqué
Apprentissage automatique dans la modélisation climatique
Apprentissage automatique et changement climatique
Apprentissage automatique pour les sciences physiques
Biodiversité
Changement climatique
Climat
Détection hors distribution (OOD)
IA et durabilité
IA pour la science
IA pour le changement climatique
Modélisation climatique
Prévision des séries temporelles
Réduction d'échelle des variables climatiques
Science du climat
Surveillance des forêts
Systèmes de gestion de l'énergie des bâtiments
Systèmes énergétiques
Technologie de conservation
Télédétection
Télédétection par satellite
Théorie de l'apprentissage automatique
Végétation
Vision par ordinateur

Biographie

David Rolnick est professeur adjoint et titulaire d’une chaire en IA Canada-CIFAR à l'École d'informatique de l'Université McGill et membre académique principal de Mila – Institut québécois d’intelligence artificielle. Ses travaux portent sur les applications de l'apprentissage automatique dans la lutte contre le changement climatique. Il est cofondateur et président de Climate Change AI et codirecteur scientifique de Sustainability in the Digital Age. David Rolnick a obtenu un doctorat en mathématiques appliquées du Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT). Il a été chercheur postdoctoral en sciences mathématiques à la National Science Foundation (NSF), chercheur diplômé à la NSF et boursier Fulbright. Il a figuré sur la liste des « 35 innovateurs de moins de 35 ans » de la MIT Technology Review en 2021.

Étudiants actuels

Collaborateur·rice de recherche
Collaborateur·rice alumni - McGill
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - Cambridge University
Postdoctorat - McGill
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - McGill
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - N/A
Doctorat - McGill
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - Leipzig University
Maîtrise recherche - McGill
Collaborateur·rice de recherche
Collaborateur·rice de recherche
Collaborateur·rice de recherche
Visiteur de recherche indépendant - Politecnico di Milano
Visiteur de recherche indépendant
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - Johannes Kepler University
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - University of Amsterdam
Maîtrise recherche - McGill
Visiteur de recherche indépendant - Université de Montréal
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - Polytechnique Montréal
Superviseur⋅e principal⋅e :
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - University of East Anglia
Collaborateur·rice de recherche
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - Columbia university
Postdoctorat - McGill
Co-superviseur⋅e :
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - University of Waterloo
Collaborateur·rice alumni - UdeM
Maîtrise recherche - McGill
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - Columbia university
Maîtrise recherche - McGill
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - University of Tübingen
Visiteur de recherche indépendant
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
Doctorat - McGill
Collaborateur·rice alumni - UdeM
Collaborateur·rice de recherche
Doctorat - McGill
Collaborateur·rice de recherche - Technical University of Munich

Publications

BATIS: Bayesian Approaches for Targeted Improvement of Species Distribution Models
Benjamin Akera
Mélisande Teng
Species distribution models (SDMs), which aim to predict species occurrence based on environmental variables, are widely used to monitor and… (voir plus) respond to biodiversity change. Recent deep learning advances for SDMs have been shown to perform well on complex and heterogeneous datasets, but their effectiveness remains limited by spatial biases in the data. In this paper, we revisit deep SDMs from a Bayesian perspective and introduce BATIS, a novel and practical framework wherein prior predictions are updated iteratively using limited observational data. Models must appropriately capture both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty to effectively combine fine-grained local insights with broader ecological patterns. We benchmark an extensive set of uncertainty quantification approaches on a novel dataset including citizen science observations from the eBird platform. Our empirical study shows how Bayesian deep learning approaches can greatly improve the reliability of SDMs in data-scarce locations, which can contribute to ecological understanding and conservation efforts.
Benchmarking the geographic generalization of deep learning models for precipitation downscaling
Luca Schmidt
Nicole Ludwig
Matthew Chantry
Christian Lessig
Earth System Models (ESM) are our main tool for projecting the impacts of climate change. However, running these models at sufficient resolu… (voir plus)tion for local-scale risk-assessments is not computationally feasible. Deep learning-based super-resolution models offer a promising solution to downscale ESM outputs to higher resolutions by learning from data. Yet, due to regional variations in climatic processes, these models typically require retraining for each geographical area–demanding high-resolution observational data, which is unevenly available across the globe. This highlights the need to assess how well these models generalize across geographic regions. To address this, we introduce RainShift, a dataset and benchmark for evaluating downscaling under geographic distribution shifts. We evaluate state-of-the-art downscaling approaches including GANs and diffusion models in generalizing across data gaps between the Global North and Global South. Our findings reveal substantial performance drops in out-of-distribution regions, depending on model and geographic area. While expanding the training domain generally improves generalization, it is insufficient to overcome shifts between geographically distinct regions. We show that addressing these shifts through, for example, domain adaptation can improve spatial generalization. Our work advances the global applicability of downscaling methods and represents a step toward reducing inequities in access to high-resolution climate information.
In-Context Reinforcement Learning through Bayesian Fusion of Context and Value Prior
In-context reinforcement learning (ICRL) promises fast adaptation to unseen environments without parameter updates, but current methods eith… (voir plus)er cannot improve beyond the training distribution or require near-optimal data, limiting practical adoption. We introduce SPICE, a Bayesian ICRL method that learns a prior over Q-values via deep ensemble and updates this prior at test-time using in-context information through Bayesian updates. To recover from poor priors resulting from training on sub-optimal data, our online inference follows an Upper-Confidence Bound rule that favours exploration and adaptation. We prove that SPICE achieves regret-optimal behaviour in both stochastic bandits and finite-horizon MDPs, even when pretrained only on suboptimal trajectories. We validate these findings empirically across bandit and control benchmarks. SPICE achieves near-optimal decisions on unseen tasks, substantially reduces regret compared to prior ICRL and meta-RL approaches while rapidly adapting to unseen tasks and remaining robust under distribution shift.
Adsorption energies are necessary but not sufficient to identify good catalysts
Alexander Davis
Alexandre AGM Duval
Oleksandr Voznyy
Alex Hern'andez-Garcia
Deploying Geospatial Foundation Models in the Real World: Lessons from WorldCereal
Christina Butsko
Kristof Van Tricht
Giorgia Milli
Inbal Becker Reshef
Zoltan Szantoi
Hannah Kerner
The increasing availability of geospatial foundation models has the potential to transform remote sensing applications such as land cover cl… (voir plus)assification, environmental monitoring, and change detection. Despite promising benchmark results, the deployment of these models in operational settings is challenging and rare. Standardized evaluation tasks often fail to capture real-world complexities relevant for end-user adoption such as data heterogeneity, resource constraints, and application-specific requirements. This paper presents a structured approach to integrate geospatial foundation models into operational mapping systems. Our protocol has three key steps: defining application requirements, adapting the model to domain-specific data and conducting rigorous empirical testing. Using the Presto model in a case study for crop mapping, we demonstrate that fine-tuning a pre-trained model significantly improves performance over conventional supervised methods. Our results highlight the model’s strong spatial and temporal generalization capabilities. Our protocol provides a replicable blueprint for practitioners and lays the groundwork for future research to operationalize foundation models in diverse remote sensing applications. Application of the protocol to the WorldCereal global crop-mapping system showcases the framework’s scalability.
On Global Applicability and Location Transferability of Generative Deep Learning Models for Precipitation Downscaling
Christian Lessig
Matthew Chantry
A HOT Dataset: 150,000 Buildings for HVAC Operations Transfer Research
About 12% of global energy consumption is attributable to heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems in buildings [11]. Machi… (voir plus)ne learning-based intelligent HVAC control offers significant energy efficiency potential, but progress is constrained by limited data for training and evaluating performance across different kinds of buildings. Existing datasets primarily target energy prediction rather than control applications, forcing studies to rely on limited building sets or single-variable perturbations that fail to capture real-world complexity. We present HOT (HVAC Operations Transfer), the first large-scale open-source dataset purpose-built for research into transfer learning in building control. HOT contains 159,744 unique building-weather combinations with systematic variations across envelope properties, occupancy patterns, and climate conditions spanning all 19 ASHRAE climate zones across 76 global locations. We formalise a comprehensive similarity-based framework with quantitative metrics for assessing transfer feasibility between source and target buildings across multiple context dimensions. Our key contributions: (1) a large-scale, open dataset and tooling enabling systematic, multi-variable transfer studies across 19 climate zones; (2) a quantitative similarity framework spanning geometry, thermal, climate, and function; and (3) zero-shot climate transfer experiments showing why realistic context variation matters for HVAC control.
A HOT Dataset: 150,000 Buildings for HVAC Operations Transfer Research
Alberta Wells Dataset: Pinpointing Oil and Gas Wells from Satellite Imagery
Brefo Dwamena Yaw
Jade Boutot
Mary Kang
Millions of abandoned oil and gas wells are scattered across the world, leaching methane into the atmosphere and toxic compounds into the gr… (voir plus)oundwater. Many of these locations are unknown, preventing the wells from being plugged and their polluting effects averted. Remote sensing is a relatively unexplored tool for pinpointing abandoned wells at scale. We introduce the first large-scale benchmark dataset for this problem, leveraging medium-resolution multi-spectral satellite imagery from Planet Labs. Our curated dataset comprises over 213,000 wells (abandoned, suspended, and active) from Alberta, a region with especially high well density, sourced from the Alberta Energy Regulator and verified by domain experts. We evaluate baseline algorithms for well detection and segmentation, showing the promise of computer vision approaches but also significant room for improvement.
HVAC-SPICE: Value-Uncertainty In-Context RL with Thompson Sampling for Zero-Shot HVAC Control
Urban buildings consume 40\% of global energy, yet most rely on inefficient rule-based HVAC systems due to the impracticality of deploying a… (voir plus)dvanced controllers across diverse building stock. In-context reinforcement learning (ICRL) offers promise for rapid deployment without per-building training, but standard supervised learning objectives that maximise likelihood of training actions inherit behaviour-policy bias and provide weak exploration under the distribution shifts common when transferring across buildings and climates. We present SPICE (Sampling Policies In-Context with Ensemble uncertainty), a novel ICRL method specifically designed for zero-shot building control that addresses these fundamental limitations. SPICE introduces two key methodological innovations: (i) a propensity-corrected, return-aware training objective that prioritises high-advantage, high-uncertainty actions to enable improvement beyond suboptimal training demonstrations, and (ii) lightweight value ensembles with randomised priors that provide explicit uncertainty estimates for principled episode-level Thompson sampling. At deployment, SPICE samples one value head per episode and acts greedily, resulting in temporally coherent exploration without test-time gradients or building-specific models. We establish a comprehensive experimental protocol using the HOT dataset to evaluate SPICE across diverse building types and climate zones, focusing on the energy efficiency, occupant comfort, and zero-shot transfer capabilities that are critical for urban-scale deployment.
Graph Dreamer: Temporal Graph World Models for Sample-Efficient and Generalisable Reinforcement Learning
Catalyst GFlowNet for electrocatalyst design: A hydrogen evolution reaction case study
Efficient and inexpensive energy storage is essential for accelerating the adoption of renewable energy and ensuring a stable supply, despit… (voir plus)e fluctuations in sources such as wind and solar. Electrocatalysts play a key role in hydrogen energy storage (HES), allowing the energy to be stored as hydrogen. However, the development of affordable and high-performance catalysts for this process remains a significant challenge. We introduce Catalyst GFlowNet, a generative model that leverages machine learning-based predictors of formation and adsorption energy to design crystal surfaces that act as efficient catalysts. We demonstrate the performance of the model through a proof-of-concept application to the hydrogen evolution reaction, a key reaction in HES, for which we successfully identified platinum as the most efficient known catalyst. In future work, we aim to extend this approach to the oxygen evolution reaction, where current optimal catalysts are expensive metal oxides, and open the search space to discover new materials. This generative modeling framework offers a promising pathway for accelerating the search for novel and efficient catalysts.