Portrait de Nicolas Chapados n'est pas disponible

Nicolas Chapados

Alumni

Publications

Context is Key: A Benchmark for Forecasting with Essential Textual Information
Andrew Robert Williams
Arjun Ashok
Étienne Marcotte
Valentina Zantedeschi
Jithendaraa Subramanian
Roland Riachi
James Requeima
Alexandre Lacoste
Irina Rish
Nicolas Chapados
Alexandre Drouin
Forecasting is a critical task in decision-making across numerous domains. While historical numerical data provide a start, they fail to con… (voir plus)vey the complete context for reliable and accurate predictions. Human forecasters frequently rely on additional information, such as background knowledge and constraints, which can efficiently be communicated through natural language. However, in spite of recent progress with LLM-based forecasters, their ability to effectively integrate this textual information remains an open question. To address this, we introduce "Context is Key" (CiK), a time-series forecasting benchmark that pairs numerical data with diverse types of carefully crafted textual context, requiring models to integrate both modalities; crucially, every task in CiK requires understanding textual context to be solved successfully. We evaluate a range of approaches, including statistical models, time series foundation models, and LLM-based forecasters, and propose a simple yet effective LLM prompting method that outperforms all other tested methods on our benchmark. Our experiments highlight the importance of incorporating contextual information, demonstrate surprising performance when using LLM-based forecasting models, and also reveal some of their critical shortcomings. This benchmark aims to advance multimodal forecasting by promoting models that are both accurate and accessible to decision-makers with varied technical expertise. The benchmark can be visualized at https://servicenow.github.io/context-is-key-forecasting/v0.
2025-10-06
Proceedings of the 42nd International Conference on Machine Learning (publié)
proceedings.mlr.press
Context is Key: A Benchmark for Forecasting with Essential Textual Information
Andrew Robert Williams
Arjun Ashok
Étienne Marcotte
Valentina Zantedeschi
Jithendaraa Subramanian
Roland Riachi
James Requeima
Alexandre Lacoste
Irina Rish
Nicolas Chapados
Alexandre Drouin
2025-10-06
Proceedings of the 42nd International Conference on Machine Learning (publié)
doi.org
openreview.net
UI-Vision: A Desktop-centric GUI Benchmark for Visual Perception and Interaction
Shravan Nayak
Xiangru Jian
Kevin Qinghong Lin
Juan A. Rodriguez
Montek Kalsi
Rabiul Awal
Nicolas Chapados
M. Tamer Özsu
Aishwarya Agrawal
David Vazquez
Chris Pal
Perouz Taslakian
Spandana Gella
Sai Rajeswar
Human Annotator
2025-10-06
Proceedings of the 42nd International Conference on Machine Learning (publié)
doi.org
openreview.net
UI-Vision: A Desktop-centric GUI Benchmark for Visual Perception and Interaction
Shravan Nayak
Xiangru Jian
Kevin Qinghong Lin
Juan A. Rodriguez
Montek Kalsi
Nicolas Chapados
M. Tamer Özsu
Aishwarya Agrawal
David Vazquez
Chris Pal
Perouz Taslakian
Spandana Gella
Sai Rajeswar
Autonomous agents that navigate Graphical User Interfaces (GUIs) to automate tasks like document editing and file management can greatly enh… (voir plus)ance computer workflows. While existing research focuses on online settings, desktop environments, critical for many professional and everyday tasks, remain underexplored due to data collection challenges and licensing issues. We introduce UI-Vision, the first comprehensive, license-permissive benchmark for offline, fine-grained evaluation of computer use agents in real-world desktop environments. Unlike online benchmarks, UI-Vision provides: (i) dense, high-quality annotations of human demonstrations, including bounding boxes, UI labels, and action trajectories (clicks, drags, and keyboard inputs) across 83 software applications, and (ii) three fine-to-coarse grained tasks—Element Grounding, Layout Grounding, and Action Prediction—with well-defined metrics to rigorously evaluate agents’ performance in desktop environments. Our evaluation reveals critical limitations in state-of-the-art models like UI-TARS-72B, including issues with understanding professional software, spatial reasoning, and complex actions like drag-and-drop. These findings highlight the challenges in developing fully autonomous computer-use agents. With UI-Vision, we aim to advance the development of more capable agents for real-world desktop tasks.
2025-10-06
Proceedings of the 42nd International Conference on Machine Learning (publié)
proceedings.mlr.press
Malice in Agentland: Down the Rabbit Hole of Backdoors in the AI Supply Chain
Léo Boisvert
Abhay Puri
Chandra Kiran Reddy Evuru
Nicolas Chapados
Quentin Cappart
Alexandre Lacoste
Krishnamurthy Dj Dvijotham
Alexandre Drouin
2025-10-03
ArXiv (prépublication)
arxiv.org
arxiv.org
Malice in Agentland: Down the Rabbit Hole of Backdoors in the AI Supply Chain
Léo Boisvert
Abhay Puri
Chandra Kiran Reddy Evuru
Nicolas Chapados
Quentin Cappart
Alexandre Lacoste
Krishnamurthy Dj Dvijotham
Alexandre Drouin
The practice of fine-tuning AI agents on data from their own interactions--such as web browsing or tool use--, while being a strong general … (voir plus)recipe for improving agentic capabilities, also introduces a critical security vulnerability within the AI supply chain. In this work, we show that adversaries can easily poison the data collection pipeline to embed hard-to-detect backdoors that are triggerred by specific target phrases, such that when the agent encounters these triggers, it performs an unsafe or malicious action. We formalize and validate three realistic threat models targeting different layers of the supply chain: 1) direct poisoning of fine-tuning data, where an attacker controls a fraction of the training traces; 2) environmental poisoning, where malicious instructions are injected into webpages scraped or tools called while creating training data; and 3) supply chain poisoning, where a pre-backdoored base model is fine-tuned on clean data to improve its agentic capabilities. Our results are stark: by poisoning as few as 2% of the collected traces, an attacker can embed a backdoor causing an agent to leak confidential user information with over 80% success when a specific trigger is present. This vulnerability holds across all three threat models. Furthermore, we demonstrate that prominent safeguards, including two guardrail models and one weight-based defense, fail to detect or prevent the malicious behavior. These findings highlight an urgent threat to agentic AI development and underscore the critical need for rigorous security vetting of data collection processes and end-to-end model supply chains.
2025-10-03
ArXiv (prépublication)
arxiv.org
arxiv.org
DRBench: A Realistic Benchmark for Enterprise Deep Research
Amirhossein Abaskohi
Tianyi Chen
Miguel Muñoz-Mármol
Curtis Fox
Amrutha Varshini Ramesh
Étienne Marcotte
Xing Han Lu
Nicolas Chapados
Spandana Gella
Chris Pal
Alexandre Drouin
Issam Hadj Laradji
We introduce DRBench, a benchmark for evaluating AI agents on complex, open-ended deep research tasks in enterprise settings. Unlike prior b… (voir plus)enchmarks that focus on simple questions or web-only queries, DRBench evaluates agents on multi-step queries (for example, ``What changes should we make to our product roadmap to ensure compliance with this standard?") that require identifying supporting facts from both the public web and private company knowledge base. Each task is grounded in realistic user personas and enterprise context, spanning a heterogeneous search space that includes productivity software, cloud file systems, emails, chat conversations, and the open web. Tasks are generated through a carefully designed synthesis pipeline with human-in-the-loop verification, and agents are evaluated on their ability to recall relevant insights, maintain factual accuracy, and produce coherent, well-structured reports. We release 15 deep research tasks across 10 domains, such as Sales, Cybersecurity, and Compliance. We demonstrate the effectiveness of DRBench by evaluating diverse DR agents across open- and closed-source models (such as GPT, Llama, and Qwen) and DR strategies, highlighting their strengths, weaknesses, and the critical path for advancing enterprise deep research. Code is available at https://github.com/ServiceNow/drbench.
2025-09-30
ArXiv (prépublication)
arxiv.org
arxiv.org
DRBench: A Realistic Benchmark for Enterprise Deep Research
Amirhossein Abaskohi
Tianyi Chen
Miguel Muñoz-Mármol
Curtis Fox
Amrutha Varshini Ramesh
Étienne Marcotte
Xing Han Lu
Nicolas Chapados
Spandana Gella
Chris Pal
Alexandre Drouin
Issam Hadj Laradji
We introduce DRBench, a benchmark for evaluating AI agents on complex, open-ended deep research tasks in enterprise settings. Unlike prior b… (voir plus)enchmarks that focus on simple questions or web-only queries, DRBench evaluates agents on multi-step queries (for example, ``What changes should we make to our product roadmap to ensure compliance with this standard?") that require identifying supporting facts from both the public web and private company knowledge base. Each task is grounded in realistic user personas and enterprise context, spanning a heterogeneous search space that includes productivity software, cloud file systems, emails, chat conversations, and the open web. Tasks are generated through a carefully designed synthesis pipeline with human-in-the-loop verification, and agents are evaluated on their ability to recall relevant insights, maintain factual accuracy, and produce coherent, well-structured reports. We release 15 deep research tasks across 10 domains, such as Sales, Cybersecurity, and Compliance. We demonstrate the effectiveness of DRBench by evaluating diverse DR agents across open- and closed-source models (such as GPT, Llama, and Qwen) and DR strategies, highlighting their strengths, weaknesses, and the critical path for advancing enterprise deep research. Code is available at https://github.com/ServiceNow/drbench.
2025-09-30
ArXiv (prépublication)
arxiv.org
arxiv.org
DRBench: A Realistic Benchmark for Enterprise Deep Research
Amirhossein Abaskohi
Tianyi Chen
Miguel Muñoz-Mármol
Curtis Fox
Amrutha Varshini Ramesh
Étienne Marcotte
Xing Han Lu
Nicolas Chapados
Spandana Gella
Chris Pal
Alexandre Drouin
Issam Hadj Laradji
We introduce DRBench, a benchmark for evaluating AI agents on complex, open-ended deep research tasks in enterprise settings. Unlike prior b… (voir plus)enchmarks that focus on simple questions or web-only queries, DRBench evaluates agents on multi-step queries (for example, ``What changes should we make to our product roadmap to ensure compliance with this standard?") that require identifying supporting facts from both the public web and private company knowledge base. Each task is grounded in realistic user personas and enterprise context, spanning a heterogeneous search space that includes productivity software, cloud file systems, emails, chat conversations, and the open web. Tasks are generated through a carefully designed synthesis pipeline with human-in-the-loop verification, and agents are evaluated on their ability to recall relevant insights, maintain factual accuracy, and produce coherent, well-structured reports. We release 15 deep research tasks across 10 domains, such as Sales, Cybersecurity, and Compliance. We demonstrate the effectiveness of DRBench by evaluating diverse DR agents across open- and closed-source models (such as GPT, Llama, and Qwen) and DR strategies, highlighting their strengths, weaknesses, and the critical path for advancing enterprise deep research. Code is available at https://github.com/ServiceNow/drbench.
2025-09-30
ArXiv (prépublication)
arxiv.org
arxiv.org
DRBench: A Realistic Benchmark for Enterprise Deep Research
Amirhossein Abaskohi
Tianyi Chen
Miguel Muñoz-Mármol
Curtis Fox
Amrutha Varshini Ramesh
Étienne Marcotte
Xing Han Lu
Nicolas Chapados
Spandana Gella
Chris Pal
Alexandre Drouin
Issam Hadj Laradji
We introduce DRBench, a benchmark for evaluating AI agents on complex, open-ended deep research tasks in enterprise settings. Unlike prior b… (voir plus)enchmarks that focus on simple questions or web-only queries, DRBench evaluates agents on multi-step queries (for example, ``What changes should we make to our product roadmap to ensure compliance with this standard?") that require identifying supporting facts from both the public web and private company knowledge base. Each task is grounded in realistic user personas and enterprise context, spanning a heterogeneous search space that includes productivity software, cloud file systems, emails, chat conversations, and the open web. Tasks are generated through a carefully designed synthesis pipeline with human-in-the-loop verification, and agents are evaluated on their ability to recall relevant insights, maintain factual accuracy, and produce coherent, well-structured reports. We release 15 deep research tasks across 10 domains, such as Sales, Cybersecurity, and Compliance. We demonstrate the effectiveness of DRBench by evaluating diverse DR agents across open- and closed-source models (such as GPT, Llama, and Qwen) and DR strategies, highlighting their strengths, weaknesses, and the critical path for advancing enterprise deep research. Code is available at https://github.com/ServiceNow/drbench.
2025-09-30
ArXiv (prépublication)
arxiv.org
arxiv.org
WebArena Verified: Reliable Evaluation for Web Agents
Amine El hattami
Megh Thakkar
Nicolas Chapados
Chris Pal
Autonomous web agents increasingly operate in multi-step browser workflows, yet widely used benchmarks can misestimate performance due to un… (voir plus)derspecified goals and brittle checkers—challenges characteristic of normal benchmark maturation rather than flaws in the paradigm. We present WebArena Verified, a reproducible re-evaluation of WebArena that preserves its containerized environments while strengthening measurement. We audit all 812 tasks, repair misaligned evaluations and clarify ambiguous instructions; replace substring matching with type- and normalization-aware comparators; verify backend state for state-changing tasks; and adopt a structured JSON schema with explicit status codes for deterministic scoring. We provide improved results reporting with template-level macro averages, 95\% confidence intervals, and failure-mode breakdowns. We also introduce WebArena Verified Hard, a 137-task subset that retains difficult cases while reducing evaluation cost by 83\%. On the baseline agent we evaluated, it reduces false negatives by approximately 11\%. WebArena Verified remains drop-in compatible with minimal change to existing agents, supporting faithful and comparable progress. We release our code, data, and evaluation tools in our public repository.
2025-09-28
NeurIPS.cc/2025/Workshop/SEA (poster)
openreview.net
openreview.net
Beyond Na\"ive Prompting: Strategies for Improved Zero-shot Context-aided Forecasting with LLMs
Arjun Ashok
Andrew Robert Williams
Vincent Zhihao Zheng
Irina Rish
Nicolas Chapados
Étienne Marcotte
Valentina Zantedeschi
Alexandre Drouin
Forecasting in real-world settings requires models to integrate not only historical data but also relevant contextual information, often ava… (voir plus)ilable in textual form. While recent work has shown that large language models (LLMs) can be effective context-aided forecasters via na\"ive direct prompting, their full potential remains underexplored. We address this gap with 4 strategies, providing new insights into the zero-shot capabilities of LLMs in this setting. ReDP improves interpretability by eliciting explicit reasoning traces, allowing us to assess the model's reasoning over the context independently from its forecast accuracy. CorDP leverages LLMs solely to refine existing forecasts with context, enhancing their applicability in real-world forecasting pipelines. IC-DP proposes embedding historical examples of context-aided forecasting tasks in the prompt, substantially improving accuracy even for the largest models. Finally, RouteDP optimizes resource efficiency by using LLMs to estimate task difficulty, and routing the most challenging tasks to larger models. Evaluated on different kinds of context-aided forecasting tasks from the CiK benchmark, our strategies demonstrate distinct benefits over na\"ive prompting across LLMs of different sizes and families. These results open the door to further simple yet effective improvements in LLM-based context-aided forecasting.
2025-09-23
NeurIPS.cc/2025/Workshop/BERT2S (publié)
doi.org
openreview.net