Alexandre Drouin

Sample Compression Hypernetworks: From Generalization Bounds to Meta-Learning

Benjamin Leblanc

Mathieu Bazinet

Nathaniel D'Amours

Pascal Germain

Reconstruction functions are pivotal in sample compression theory, a framework for deriving tight generalization bounds. From a small sample… (voir plus) of the training set (the compression set) and an optional stream of information (the message), they recover a predictor previously learned from the whole training set. While usually fixed, we propose to learn reconstruction functions. To facilitate the optimization and increase the expressiveness of the message, we derive a new sample compression generalization bound for real-valued messages. From this theoretical analysis, we then present a new hypernetwork architecture that outputs predictors with tight generalization guarantees when trained using an original meta-learning framework. The results of promising preliminary experiments are then reported.

2024-10-08

NeurIPS.cc/2024/Workshop/Compression (publié)

Thibault Le Sellier De Chezelles

WorkArena++: Towards Compositional Planning and Reasoning-based Common Knowledge Work Tasks

Léo Boisvert

Megh Thakkar

Maxime Gasse

Massimo Caccia

Quentin Cappart

Alexandre Lacoste

The ability of large language models (LLMs) to mimic human-like intelligence has led to a surge in LLM-based autonomous agents. Though recen… (voir plus)t LLMs seem capable of planning and reasoning given user instructions, their effectiveness in applying these capabilities for autonomous task solving remains underexplored. This is especially true in enterprise settings, where automated agents hold the promise of a high impact. To fill this gap, we propose WorkArena++, a novel benchmark consisting of 682 tasks corresponding to realistic workflows routinely performed by knowledge workers. WorkArena++ is designed to evaluate the planning, problem-solving, logical/arithmetic reasoning, retrieval, and contextual understanding abilities of web agents. Our empirical studies across state-of-the-art LLMs and vision-language models (VLMs), as well as human workers, reveal several challenges for such models to serve as useful assistants in the workplace. In addition to the benchmark, we provide a mechanism to effortlessly generate thousands of ground-truth observation/action traces, which can be used for fine-tuning existing models. Overall, we expect this work to serve as a useful resource to help the community progress toward capable autonomous agents. The benchmark can be found at https://github.com/ServiceNow/WorkArena.

2024-09-25

Datasets and Benchmarks Track @ Neural Information Processing Systems (poster)

WorkArena: How Capable are Web Agents at Solving Common Knowledge Work Tasks?

Maxime Gasse

Massimo Caccia

Issam H. Laradji

Alexandre Lacoste

We study the use of large language model-based agents for interacting with software via web browsers. Unlike prior work, we focus on measuri… (voir plus)ng the agents' ability to perform tasks that span the typical daily work of knowledge workers utilizing enterprise software systems. To this end, we propose WorkArena, a remote-hosted benchmark of 33 tasks based on the widely-used ServiceNow platform. We also introduce BrowserGym, an environment for the design and evaluation of such agents, offering a rich set of actions as well as multimodal observations. Our empirical evaluation reveals that while current agents show promise on WorkArena, there remains a considerable gap towards achieving full task automation. Notably, our analysis uncovers a significant performance disparity between open and closed-source LLMs, highlighting a critical area for future exploration and development in the field.

2024-07-22

International Conference on Machine Learning (Accept (Poster))

proceedings.mlr.press

TACTiS-2: Better, Faster, Simpler Attentional Copulas for Multivariate Time Series

Arjun Ashok

Étienne Marcotte

Valentina Zantedeschi

We introduce a new model for multivariate probabilistic time series prediction, designed to flexibly address a range of tasks including fore… (voir plus)casting, interpolation, and their combinations. Building on copula theory, we propose a simplified objective for the recently-introduced transformer-based attentional copulas (TACTiS), wherein the number of distributional parameters now scales linearly with the number of variables instead of factorially. The new objective requires the introduction of a training curriculum, which goes hand-in-hand with necessary changes to the original architecture. We show that the resulting model has significantly better training dynamics and achieves state-of-the-art performance across diverse real-world forecasting tasks, while maintaining the flexibility of prior work, such as seamless handling of unaligned and unevenly-sampled time series. Code is made available at https://github.com/ServiceNow/TACTiS.

2024-01-15

ICLR.cc/2024/Conference (poster)

Capture the Flag: Uncovering Data Insights with Large Language Models.

Issam H. Laradji

Perouz Taslakian

Sai Rajeswar

Valentina Zantedeschi

Alexandre Lacoste

David Vázquez

Christopher Pal

The extraction of a small number of relevant insights from vast amounts of data is a crucial component of data-driven decision-making. Howev… (voir plus)er, accomplishing this task requires considerable technical skills, domain expertise, and human labor. This study explores the potential of using Large Language Models (LLMs) to automate the discovery of insights in data, leveraging recent advances in reasoning and code generation techniques. We propose a new evaluation methodology based on a "capture the flag" principle, measuring the ability of such models to recognize meaningful and pertinent information (flags) in a dataset. We further propose two proof-of-concept agents, with different inner workings, and compare their ability to capture such flags in a real-world sales dataset. While the work reported here is preliminary, our results are sufficiently interesting to mandate future exploration by the community.

2023-11-06

NeurIPS.cc/2023/Workshop/FMDM (publié)

The Unsolved Challenges of LLMs as Generalist Web Agents: A Case Study

Rim Assouel

Tom Marty

Massimo Caccia

Issam Hadj Laradji

Sai Rajeswar

Hector Palacios

Quentin Cappart

David Vázquez

Maxime Gasse

Alexandre Lacoste

2023-11-06

NeurIPS.cc/2023/Workshop/FMDM (publié)

Mohammad Javad Darvishi Bayazi

Lag-Llama: Towards Foundation Models for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting

Kashif Rasul

Arjun Ashok

Andrew Robert Williams

Hena Ghonia

Rishika Bhagwatkar

Arian Khorasani

George Adamopoulos

Roland Riachi

Nadhir Hassen

Marin Biloš

Sahil Garg

Anderson Schneider

Valentina Zantedeschi

Yuriy Nevmyvaka

Irina Rish

Over the past years, foundation models have caused a paradigm shift in machine learning due to their unprecedented capabilities for zero-sho… (voir plus)t and few-shot generalization. However, despite the success of foundation models in modalities such as natural language processing and computer vision, the development of foundation models for time series forecasting has lagged behind. We present Lag-Llama, a general-purpose foundation model for univariate probabilistic time series forecasting based on a decoder-only transformer architecture that uses lags as covariates. Lag-Llama is pretrained on a large corpus of diverse time series data from several domains, and demonstrates strong zero-shot generalization capabilities compared to a wide range of forecasting models on downstream datasets across domains. Moreover, when fine-tuned on relatively small fractions of such previously unseen datasets, Lag-Llama achieves state-of-the-art performance, outperforming prior deep learning approaches, emerging as the best general-purpose model on average. Lag-Llama serves as a strong contender to the current state-of-art in time series forecasting and paves the way for future advancements in foundation models tailored to time series data.

2023-10-31

R0-FoMo @ Neural Information Processing Systems (poster)

GEO-Bench: Toward Foundation Models for Earth Monitoring

Alexandre Lacoste

Nils Lehmann

Pau Rodríguez

Evan David Sherwin

Hannah Kerner

Björn Lütjens

Jeremy Irvin

David Dao

Hamed Alemohammad

Mehmet Gunturkun

Dava Newman

Stefano Ermon

Xiao Xiang Zhu

Recent progress in self-supervision has shown that pre-training large neural networks on vast amounts of unsupervised data can lead to subst… (voir plus)antial increases in generalization to downstream tasks. Such models, recently coined foundation models, have been transformational to the field of natural language processing. Variants have also been proposed for image data, but their applicability to remote sensing tasks is limited. To stimulate the development of foundation models for Earth monitoring, we propose a benchmark comprised of six classification and six segmentation tasks, which were carefully curated and adapted to be both relevant to the field and well-suited for model evaluation. We accompany this benchmark with a robust methodology for evaluating models and reporting aggregated results to enable a reliable assessment of progress. Finally, we report results for 20 baselines to gain information about the performance of existing models. We believe that this benchmark will be a driver of progress across a variety of Earth monitoring tasks.

2023-09-24

NeurIPS.cc/2023/Track/Datasets_and_Benchmarks (poster)

Regions of Reliability in the Evaluation of Multivariate Probabilistic Forecasts

Étienne Marcotte

Valentina Zantedeschi

Multivariate probabilistic time series forecasts are commonly evaluated via proper scoring rules, i.e., functions that are minimal in expect… (voir plus)ation for the ground-truth distribution. However, this property is not sufficient to guarantee good discrimination in the non-asymptotic regime. In this paper, we provide the first systematic finite-sample study of proper scoring rules for time-series forecasting evaluation. Through a power analysis, we identify the"region of reliability"of a scoring rule, i.e., the set of practical conditions where it can be relied on to identify forecasting errors. We carry out our analysis on a comprehensive synthetic benchmark, specifically designed to test several key discrepancies between ground-truth and forecast distributions, and we gauge the generalizability of our findings to real-world tasks with an application to an electricity production problem. Our results reveal critical shortcomings in the evaluation of multivariate probabilistic forecasts as commonly performed in the literature.

2023-07-02

Proceedings of the 40th International Conference on Machine Learning (publié)

proceedings.mlr.press

Benchmarking Bayesian Causal Discovery Methods for Downstream Treatment Effect Estimation

2023-06-18

ICML.cc/2023/Workshop/SPIGM (poster)

Causal Discovery with Language Models as Imperfect Experts

Stephanie Long

Alexandre Piché

Valentina Zantedeschi

Tibor Schuster

Understanding the causal relationships that underlie a system is a fundamental prerequisite to accurate decision-making. In this work, we ex… (voir plus)plore how expert knowledge can be used to improve the data-driven identification of causal graphs, beyond Markov equivalence classes. In doing so, we consider a setting where we can query an expert about the orientation of causal relationships between variables, but where the expert may provide erroneous information. We propose strategies for amending such expert knowledge based on consistency properties, e.g., acyclicity and conditional independencies in the equivalence class. We then report a case study, on real data, where a large language model is used as an imperfect expert.

2023-06-18

ICML.cc/2023/Workshop/SPIGM (poster)