Andrew Williams

AI For Global Climate Cooperation 2023 Competition Proceedings

Yoshua Bengio

Prateek Arun Gupta

Lu Li

Soham R. Phade

Sunil Srinivasa

andrew williams

Tianyu Zhang

Yang Zhang

Stephan Tao Zheng

The international community must collaborate to mitigate climate change and sustain economic growth. However, collaboration is hard to achie… (voir plus)ve, partly because no global authority can ensure compliance with international climate agreements. Combining AI with climate-economic simulations offers a promising solution to design international frameworks, including negotiation protocols and climate agreements, that promote and incentivize collaboration. In addition, these frameworks should also have policy goals fulfillment, and sustained commitment, taking into account climate-economic dynamics and strategic behaviors. These challenges require an interdisciplinary approach across machine learning, economics, climate science, law, policy, ethics, and other fields. Towards this objective, we organized AI for Global Climate Cooperation, a Mila competition in which teams submitted proposals and analyses of international frameworks, based on (modifications of) RICE-N, an AI-driven integrated assessment model (IAM). In particular, RICE-N supports modeling regional decision-making using AI agents. Furthermore, the IAM then models the climate-economic impact of those decisions into the future. Whereas the first track focused only on performance metrics, the proposals submitted to the second track were evaluated both quantitatively and qualitatively. The quantitative evaluation focused on a combination of (i) the degree of mitigation of global temperature rise and (ii) the increase in economic productivity. On the other hand, an interdisciplinary panel of human experts in law, policy, sociology, economics and environmental science, evaluated the solutions qualitatively. In particular, the panel considered the effectiveness, simplicity, feasibility, ethics, and notions of climate justice of the protocols. In the third track, the participants were asked to critique and improve RICE-N.

2023-07-10

ArXiv (prépublication)

doi.org

arxiv.org

AI For Global Climate Cooperation 2023 Competition Proceedings

Yoshua Bengio

Prateek Arun Gupta

Lu Li

Soham R. Phade

Sunil Srinivasa

andrew williams

Tianyu Zhang

Yangtian Zhang

Stephan Tao Zheng

The international community must collaborate to mitigate climate change and sustain economic growth. However, collaboration is hard to achie… (voir plus)ve, partly because no global authority can ensure compliance with international climate agreements. Combining AI with climate-economic simulations offers a promising solution to design international frameworks, including negotiation protocols and climate agreements, that promote and incentivize collaboration. In addition, these frameworks should also have policy goals fulfillment, and sustained commitment, taking into account climate-economic dynamics and strategic behaviors. These challenges require an interdisciplinary approach across machine learning, economics, climate science, law, policy, ethics, and other fields. Towards this objective, we organized AI for Global Climate Cooperation, a Mila competition in which teams submitted proposals and analyses of international frameworks, based on (modifications of) RICE-N, an AI-driven integrated assessment model (IAM). In particular, RICE-N supports modeling regional decision-making using AI agents. Furthermore, the IAM then models the climate-economic impact of those decisions into the future. Whereas the first track focused only on performance metrics, the proposals submitted to the second track were evaluated both quantitatively and qualitatively. The quantitative evaluation focused on a combination of (i) the degree of mitigation of global temperature rise and (ii) the increase in economic productivity. On the other hand, an interdisciplinary panel of human experts in law, policy, sociology, economics and environmental science, evaluated the solutions qualitatively. In particular, the panel considered the effectiveness, simplicity, feasibility, ethics, and notions of climate justice of the protocols. In the third track, the participants were asked to critique and improve RICE-N.

2023-07-10

ArXiv (preprint)

doi.org

arxiv.org

Proactive Contact Tracing

Prateek Gupta

Tegan Maharaj

Martin Weiss

Nasim Rahaman

Hannah Alsdurf

Nanor Minoyan

Soren Harnois-Leblanc

Joanna Merckx

andrew williams

Victor Schmidt

Pierre-Luc St-Charles

Akshay Patel

Yang Zhang

David Buckeridge

Chris Pal

Bernhard Schölkopf

Yoshua Bengio

2023-03-13

PLOS Digital Health (publié)

doi.org

Predicting Infectiousness for Proactive Contact Tracing

Yoshua Bengio

Prateek Gupta

Tegan Maharaj

Nasim Rahaman

Martin Weiss

Tristan Deleu

Eilif Benjamin Muller

Meng Qu

Victor Schmidt

Pierre-Luc St-Charles

Hannah Alsdurf

Olexa Bilaniuk

David Buckeridge

gaetan caron

pierre luc carrier

Joumana Ghosn

satya ortiz gagne

Chris Pal

Irina Rish

Bernhard Schölkopf … (voir 3 de plus)

abhinav sharma

Jian Tang

andrew williams

The COVID-19 pandemic has spread rapidly worldwide, overwhelming manual contact tracing in many countries and resulting in widespread lockdo… (voir plus)wns for emergency containment. Large-scale digital contact tracing (DCT) has emerged as a potential solution to resume economic and social activity while minimizing spread of the virus. Various DCT methods have been proposed, each making trade-offs between privacy, mobility restrictions, and public health. The most common approach, binary contact tracing (BCT), models infection as a binary event, informed only by an individual's test results, with corresponding binary recommendations that either all or none of the individual's contacts quarantine. BCT ignores the inherent uncertainty in contacts and the infection process, which could be used to tailor messaging to high-risk individuals, and prompt proactive testing or earlier warnings. It also does not make use of observations such as symptoms or pre-existing medical conditions, which could be used to make more accurate infectiousness predictions. In this paper, we use a recently-proposed COVID-19 epidemiological simulator to develop and test methods that can be deployed to a smartphone to locally and proactively predict an individual's infectiousness (risk of infecting others) based on their contact history and other information, while respecting strong privacy constraints. Predictions are used to provide personalized recommendations to the individual via an app, as well as to send anonymized messages to the individual's contacts, who use this information to better predict their own infectiousness, an approach we call proactive contact tracing (PCT). We find a deep-learning based PCT method which improves over BCT for equivalent average mobility, suggesting PCT could help in safe re-opening and second-wave prevention.

2021-01-12

ICLR.cc/2021/Conference (spotlight)

openreview.net