David Rolnick

Biography

David Rolnick is an assistant professor at McGill University’s School of Computer Science, a core academic member of Mila – Quebec Artificial Intelligence Institute and holds a Canada CIFAR AI Chair. Rolnick’s work focuses on applications of machine learning to help address climate change. He is the co-founder and chair of Climate Change AI, and scientific co-director of Sustainability in the Digital Age. After completing his PhD in applied mathematics at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), he was a NSF Mathematical Sciences Postdoctoral Research Fellow, an NSF Graduate Research Fellow and a Fulbright Scholar. He was named to MIT Technology Review’s “35 Innovators Under 35” in 2021.

Current Students

Aditya Aditya

Collaborating researcher

Collaborating Alumni - McGill University

Collaborating researcher - Cambridge University

Co-supervisor :

Postdoctorate - McGill University

Michael Bunsen

Collaborating researcher - McGill University

Juan Sebastián Cañas

Collaborating researcher

Collaborating researcher - N/A

Co-supervisor :

Yoshua Bengio

Yuyan Chen

Master's Research - McGill University

Eya Cherif

Collaborating researcher - Leipzig University

Amna El-Mustafa

Collaborating researcher

Mohamed Elabbas

Collaborating researcher

Jannik Endres

Collaborating researcher

Jacopo Ghirri

Independent visiting researcher - Politecnico di Milano

Paula Harder

Independent visiting researcher

Collaborating researcher - Université de Montréal

Christina Humer

Collaborating researcher - Johannes Kepler University

Christina Isaicu Isaicu

Collaborating researcher - University of Amsterdam

Gaurav Iyer

Master's Research - McGill University

Julia Kaltenborn

PhD - McGill University

Devin Kwok

PhD - McGill University

Collaborating researcher

Independent visiting researcher - Université de Montréal

Joshi Manoj

Collaborating researcher - University of East Anglia

David Mickisch

Collaborating researcher

Juan Nathaniel Nathaniel

Collaborating researcher - Columbia university

Master's Research - McGill University

Postdoctorate - McGill University

Co-supervisor :

Lena Podina

PhD - University of Waterloo

Co-supervisor :

Collaborating Alumni - Université de Montréal

Marlena Reil

Master's Research - McGill University

Carla Roesch

Collaborating researcher - Columbia university

Rasha Saha

Master's Research - McGill University

luca.schmidt@uni-tuebingen.de

Luca Marie Schmidt

Collaborating researcher - University of Tübingen

Collaborating researcher

seth.pratinav@gmail.com

Collaborating researcher - Karlsruhe Institute of Technology

Gabriel Tseng

PhD - McGill University

Donna Vakalis

Postdoctorate - Université de Montréal

Principal supervisor :

Collaborating researcher

anna.viklund@mila.quebec

Catherine Villeneuve

PhD - McGill University

Tiffany Vlaar

Collaborating Alumni - McGill University

Publications

CISO: Species Distribution Modeling Conditioned on Incomplete Species Observations

Hager Radi

Mélisande Teng

Robin Zbinden

Laura Pollock

Hugo Larochelle

Devis Tuia

Species distribution models (SDMs) are widely used to predict species'geographic distributions, serving as critical tools for ecological res… (see more)earch and conservation planning. Typically, SDMs relate species occurrences to environmental variables representing abiotic factors, such as temperature, precipitation, and soil properties. However, species distributions are also strongly influenced by biotic interactions with other species, which are often overlooked. While some methods partially address this limitation by incorporating biotic interactions, they often assume symmetrical pairwise relationships between species and require consistent co-occurrence data. In practice, species observations are sparse, and the availability of information about the presence or absence of other species varies significantly across locations. To address these challenges, we propose CISO, a deep learning-based method for species distribution modeling Conditioned on Incomplete Species Observations. CISO enables predictions to be conditioned on a flexible number of species observations alongside environmental variables, accommodating the variability and incompleteness of available biotic data. We demonstrate our approach using three datasets representing different species groups: sPlotOpen for plants, SatBird for birds, and a new dataset, SatButterfly, for butterflies. Our results show that including partial biotic information improves predictive performance on spatially separate test sets. When conditioned on a subset of species within the same dataset, CISO outperforms alternative methods in predicting the distribution of the remaining species. Furthermore, we show that combining observations from multiple datasets can improve performance. CISO is a promising ecological tool, capable of incorporating incomplete biotic information and identifying potential interactions between species from disparate taxa.

2025-08-08

ArXiv (preprint)

CISO: Species Distribution Modeling Conditioned on Incomplete Species Observations

Hager Radi

Mélisande Teng

Robin Zbinden

Laura Pollock

Hugo Larochelle

Devis Tuia

2025-08-08

ArXiv (preprint)

Tree semantic segmentation from aerial image time series

Venkatesh Ramesh

Arthur Ouaknine

2025-07-29

Environmental Data Science (published)

Tree semantic segmentation from aerial image time series

Venkatesh Ramesh

Arthur Ouaknine

2025-07-29

Environmental Data Science (published)

HVAC-GRACE: Transferable Building Control via Heterogeneous Graph Neural Network Policies

Anaïs Berkes

Donna Vakalis

Yoshua Bengio

Buildings consume 40% of global energy, with HVAC systems responsible for up to half of that demand. As energy use grows, optimizing HVAC ef… (see more)ficiency is critical to meeting climate goals. While reinforcement learning (RL) offers a promising alternative to rule-based control, real-world adoption is limited by poor sample efficiency and generalisation. We introduce HVAC-GRACE, a graph-based RL framework that models buildings as heterogeneous graphs and integrates spatial message passing directly into temporal GRU gates. This enables each zone to learn control actions informed by both its own history and its structural context. Our architecture supports zero-shot transfer by learning topology-agnostic functions—but initial experiments reveal that this benefit depends on sufficient conditioned zone connectivity to maintain gradient flow. These findings highlight both the promise and the architectural requirements of scalable, transferable RL for building control

2025-07-01

ICML.cc/2025/Workshop/CO-BUILD (poster)

openreview.net

RainShift: A Benchmark for Precipitation Downscaling Across Geographies

Paula Harder

Luca Schmidt

Francis Pelletier

Nicole Ludwig 0002

Matthew Chantry

Christian Lessig

Alex Hernandez-Garcia

Earth System Models (ESM) are our main tool for projecting the impacts of climate change. However, running these models at sufficient resolu… (see more)tion for local-scale risk-assessments is not computationally feasible. Deep learning-based super-resolution models offer a promising solution to downscale ESM outputs to higher resolutions by learning from data. Yet, due to regional variations in climatic processes, these models typically require retraining for each geographical area-demanding high-resolution observational data, which is unevenly available across the globe. This highlights the need to assess how well these models generalize across geographic regions. To address this, we introduce RainShift, a dataset and benchmark for evaluating downscaling under geographic distribution shifts. We evaluate state-of-the-art downscaling approaches including GANs and diffusion models in generalizing across data gaps between the Global North and Global South. Our findings reveal substantial performance drops in out-of-distribution regions, depending on model and geographic area. While expanding the training domain generally improves generalization, it is insufficient to overcome shifts between geographically distinct regions. We show that addressing these shifts through, for example, data alignment can improve spatial generalization. Our work advances the global applicability of downscaling methods and represents a step toward reducing inequities in access to high-resolution climate information.

2025-07-01

arXiv (published)

Causal Climate Emulation with Bayesian Filtering

Sebastian H. M. Hickman

Ilija Trajković

Julia Kaltenborn

Francis Pelletier

Alex Archibald

Yaniv Gurwicz

Peer Nowack

Julien Boussard

Traditional models of climate change use complex systems of coupled equations to simulate physical processes across the Earth system. These … (see more)simulations are highly computationally expensive, limiting our predictions of climate change and analyses of its causes and effects. Machine learning has the potential to quickly emulate data from climate models, but current approaches are not able to incorporate physics-informed causal relationships. Here, we develop an interpretable climate model emulator based on causal representation learning. We derive a physics-informed approach including a Bayesian filter for stable long-term autoregressive emulation. We demonstrate that our emulator learns accurate climate dynamics, and we show the importance of each one of its components on a realistic synthetic dataset and data from two widely deployed climate models.

2025-06-11

ArXiv (preprint)

Causal Climate Emulation with Bayesian Filtering

Sebastian H. M. Hickman

Ilija Trajković

Julia Kaltenborn

Francis Pelletier

Alex Archibald

Yaniv Gurwicz

Peer Nowack

Julien Boussard

2025-06-11

ArXiv (preprint)

Deploying Geospatial Foundation Models in the Real World: Lessons from WorldCereal

Christina Butsko

Kristof Van Tricht

Gabriel Tseng

Giorgia Milli

Ruben Cartuyvels

Inbal Becker Reshef

Zoltan Szantoi

Hannah Kerner

The increasing availability of geospatial foundation models has the potential to transform remote sensing applications such as land cover cl… (see more)assification, environmental monitoring, and change detection. Despite promising benchmark results, the deployment of these models in operational settings is challenging and rare. Standardized evaluation tasks often fail to capture real-world complexities relevant for end-user adoption such as data heterogeneity, resource constraints, and application-specific requirements. This paper presents a structured approach to integrate geospatial foundation models into operational mapping systems. Our protocol has three key steps: defining application requirements, adapting the model to domain-specific data and conducting rigorous empirical testing. Using the Presto model in a case study for crop mapping, we demonstrate that fine-tuning a pre-trained model significantly improves performance over conventional supervised methods. Our results highlight the model’s strong spatial and temporal generalization capabilities. Our protocol provides a replicable blueprint for practitioners and lays the groundwork for future research to operationalize foundation models in diverse remote sensing applications. Application of the protocol to the WorldCereal global crop-mapping system showcases the framework’s scalability.

2025-06-10

ICML.cc/2025/Workshop/TerraBytes (published)

openreview.net

Bringing SAM to new heights: Leveraging elevation data for tree crown segmentation from drone imagery

Mélisande Teng

Etienne Lalibert'e

Information on trees at the individual level is crucial for monitoring forest ecosystems and planning forest management. Current monitoring … (see more)methods involve ground measurements, requiring extensive cost, time and labor. Advances in drone remote sensing and computer vision offer great potential for mapping individual trees from aerial imagery at broad-scale. Large pre-trained vision models, such as the Segment Anything Model (SAM), represent a particularly compelling choice given limited labeled data. In this work, we compare methods leveraging SAM for the task of automatic tree crown instance segmentation in high resolution drone imagery in three use cases: 1) boreal plantations, 2) temperate forests and 3) tropical forests. We also study the integration of elevation data into models, in the form of Digital Surface Model (DSM) information, which can readily be obtained at no additional cost from RGB drone imagery. We present BalSAM, a model leveraging SAM and DSM information, which shows potential over other methods, particularly in the context of plantations. We find that methods using SAM out-of-the-box do not outperform a custom Mask R-CNN, even with well-designed prompts. However, efficiently tuning SAM end-to-end and integrating DSM information are both promising avenues for tree crown instance segmentation models.

2025-06-05

ArXiv (preprint)

Bringing SAM to new heights: Leveraging elevation data for tree crown segmentation from drone imagery

Mélisande Teng

Etienne Lalibert'e

2025-06-01

arXiv (published)

Galileo: Learning Global&Local Features of Many Remote Sensing Modalities

Gabriel Tseng

Anthony Fuller

Marlena Reil

Henry Herzog

Patrick Beukema

Favyen Bastani

James R Green

Evan Shelhamer

Hannah Kerner