Portrait of Julien Boussard is unavailable

Julien Boussard

Postdoctorate - McGill University
Supervisor
David Rolnick
Research Topics
Causality
Clustering
Machine Learning and Climate Change
Machine Learning in Climate Modeling

Publications

Causal Climate Emulation with Bayesian Filtering
Sebastian H. M. Hickman
Ilija Trajković
Julia Kaltenborn
Francis Pelletier
Alex Archibald
Yaniv Gurwicz
Peer Nowack
David Rolnick
Julien Boussard
Traditional models of climate change use complex systems of coupled equations to simulate physical processes across the Earth system. These … (see more)simulations are highly computationally expensive, limiting our predictions of climate change and analyses of its causes and effects. Machine learning has the potential to quickly emulate data from climate models, but current approaches are not able to incorporate physics-informed causal relationships. Here, we develop an interpretable climate model emulator based on causal representation learning. We derive a physics-informed approach including a Bayesian filter for stable long-term autoregressive emulation. We demonstrate that our emulator learns accurate climate dynamics, and we show the importance of each one of its components on a realistic synthetic dataset and data from two widely deployed climate models.
2025-06-11
ArXiv (preprint)
arxiv.org
arxiv.org
Causal Climate Emulation with Bayesian Filtering
Sebastian H. M. Hickman
Ilija Trajković
Julia Kaltenborn
Francis Pelletier
Alex Archibald
Yaniv Gurwicz
Peer Nowack
David Rolnick
Julien Boussard
Traditional models of climate change use complex systems of coupled equations to simulate physical processes across the Earth system. These … (see more)simulations are highly computationally expensive, limiting our predictions of climate change and analyses of its causes and effects. Machine learning has the potential to quickly emulate data from climate models, but current approaches are not able to incorporate physics-informed causal relationships. Here, we develop an interpretable climate model emulator based on causal representation learning. We derive a physics-informed approach including a Bayesian filter for stable long-term autoregressive emulation. We demonstrate that our emulator learns accurate climate dynamics, and we show the importance of each one of its components on a realistic synthetic dataset and data from two widely deployed climate models.
2025-06-11
ArXiv (preprint)
doi.org
arxiv.org
Towards Causal Representations of Climate Model Data
Julien Boussard
Chandni Nagda
Julia Kaltenborn
Charlotte Emilie Elektra Lange
Philippe Brouillard
Yaniv Gurwicz
Peer Nowack
David Rolnick
Climate models, such as Earth system models (ESMs), are crucial for simulating future climate change based on projected Shared Socioeconomic… (see more) Pathways (SSP) greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. While ESMs are sophisticated and invaluable, machine learning-based emulators trained on existing simulation data can project additional climate scenarios much faster and are computationally efficient. However, they often lack generalizability and interpretability. This work delves into the potential of causal representation learning, specifically the \emph{Causal Discovery with Single-parent Decoding} (CDSD) method, which could render climate model emulation efficient \textit{and} interpretable. We evaluate CDSD on multiple climate datasets, focusing on emissions, temperature, and precipitation. Our findings shed light on the challenges, limitations, and promise of using CDSD as a stepping stone towards more interpretable and robust climate model emulation.
2023-12-05
ArXiv (preprint)
doi.org
arxiv.org