Tegan Maharaj

Evan David Sherwin

S. Karthik Mukkavilli

Konrad Paul Kording

Carla P. Gomes

Andrew Y. Ng

Demis Hassabis

John C. Platt

Felix Creutzig … (see 2 more)

Jennifer T Chayes

Climate change is one of the greatest challenges facing humanity, and we, as machine learning (ML) experts, may wonder how we can help. Here… (see more) we describe how ML can be a powerful tool in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and helping society adapt to a changing climate. From smart grids to disaster management, we identify high impact problems where existing gaps can be filled by ML, in collaboration with other fields. Our recommendations encompass exciting research questions as well as promising business opportunities. We call on the ML community to join the global effort against climate change.

2022-02-07

ACM Computing Surveys (published)

doi.org

Deep Learning for Detecting Extreme Weather Patterns

Mayur Mudigonda

Mayur Mudigonda, Prabhat Ram

Prabhat Ram

Karthik Kashinath

Evan Racah

Ankur Mahesh

Yunjie Liu

Christopher Beckham

Jim Biard

Thorsten Kurth

Sookyung Kim

Samira Ebrahimi Kahou

Burlen Loring

Chris Pal

Travis O'Brien

K. Kunkel

Kenneth E. Kunkel

M. Wehner

Michael F. Wehner … (see 2 more)

W. Collins

William D. Collins

2021-08-20

Deep Learning for the Earth Sciences (published)

doi.org

Predicting Infectiousness for Proactive Contact Tracing

Prateek Gupta

Nasim Rahaman

Pierre-Luc St-Charles

Hannah Alsdurf

gaetan caron

satya ortiz gagne

Bernhard Schölkopf … (see 3 more)

Abhinav Sharma

Andrew Robert Williams

The COVID-19 pandemic has spread rapidly worldwide, overwhelming manual contact tracing in many countries and resulting in widespread lockdo… (see more)wns for emergency containment. Large-scale digital contact tracing (DCT) has emerged as a potential solution to resume economic and social activity while minimizing spread of the virus. Various DCT methods have been proposed, each making trade-offs between privacy, mobility restrictions, and public health. The most common approach, binary contact tracing (BCT), models infection as a binary event, informed only by an individual's test results, with corresponding binary recommendations that either all or none of the individual's contacts quarantine. BCT ignores the inherent uncertainty in contacts and the infection process, which could be used to tailor messaging to high-risk individuals, and prompt proactive testing or earlier warnings. It also does not make use of observations such as symptoms or pre-existing medical conditions, which could be used to make more accurate infectiousness predictions. In this paper, we use a recently-proposed COVID-19 epidemiological simulator to develop and test methods that can be deployed to a smartphone to locally and proactively predict an individual's infectiousness (risk of infecting others) based on their contact history and other information, while respecting strong privacy constraints. Predictions are used to provide personalized recommendations to the individual via an app, as well as to send anonymized messages to the individual's contacts, who use this information to better predict their own infectiousness, an approach we call proactive contact tracing (PCT). We find a deep-learning based PCT method which improves over BCT for equivalent average mobility, suggesting PCT could help in safe re-opening and second-wave prevention.

2021-01-12

ICLR.cc/2021/Conference (spotlight)

openreview.net

COVI-AgentSim: an Agent-based Model for Evaluating Methods of Digital Contact Tracing

Prateek Gupta

Nasim Rahaman

Hannah Alsdurf

Abhinav Sharma

Nanor Minoyan

Soren Harnois-Leblanc

Victor Schmidt

Pierre-Luc St-Charles

Andrew Robert Williams

Akshay Patel

gaetan caron

satya ortiz gagne

David Buckeridge … (see 9 more)

Joumana Ghosn

Yang Zhang

Bernhard Schölkopf

Joanna Merckx

2020-10-02

OpenReview.net/Anonymous_Preprint (unknown)

openreview.net

COVI White Paper

Hannah Alsdurf

Prateek Gupta

Daphne Ippolito

Richard Janda

Max Jarvie

Tyler J. Kolody

Sekoul Krastev

Robert Obryk

Dan Pilat

Nasim Rahaman

Jean-franois Rousseau

Abhinav Sharma

Brooke Struck … (see 3 more)

Yun William Yu

2020-05-18

ArXiv (preprint)

COVI White Paper

Hannah Alsdurf

Prateek Gupta

Daphne Ippolito

Richard Janda

Max Jarvie

Tyler J. Kolody

Sekoul Krastev

Robert Obryk

Dan Pilat

Nasim Rahaman

Jean-franois Rousseau

Abhinav Sharma

Brooke Struck … (see 3 more)

Yun William Yu

2020-05-18

ArXiv (preprint)

COVI White Paper

Hannah Alsdurf

Prateek Gupta

Daphne Ippolito

Richard Janda

Max Jarvie

Tyler J. Kolody

Sekoul Krastev

Robert Obryk

Dan Pilat

Nasim Rahaman

Jean-franois Rousseau

Abhinav Sharma

Brooke Struck … (see 3 more)

Yun William Yu

The SARS-CoV-2 (Covid-19) pandemic has caused significant strain on public health institutions around the world. Contact tracing is an essen… (see more)tial tool to change the course of the Covid-19 pandemic. Manual contact tracing of Covid-19 cases has significant challenges that limit the ability of public health authorities to minimize community infections. Personalized peer-to-peer contact tracing through the use of mobile apps has the potential to shift the paradigm. Some countries have deployed centralized tracking systems, but more privacy-protecting decentralized systems offer much of the same benefit without concentrating data in the hands of a state authority or for-profit corporations. Machine learning methods can circumvent some of the limitations of standard digital tracing by incorporating many clues and their uncertainty into a more graded and precise estimation of infection risk. The estimated risk can provide early risk awareness, personalized recommendations and relevant information to the user. Finally, non-identifying risk data can inform epidemiological models trained jointly with the machine learning predictor. These models can provide statistical evidence for the importance of factors involved in disease transmission. They can also be used to monitor, evaluate and optimize health policy and (de)confinement scenarios according to medical and economic productivity indicators. However, such a strategy based on mobile apps and machine learning should proactively mitigate potential ethical and privacy risks, which could have substantial impacts on society (not only impacts on health but also impacts such as stigmatization and abuse of personal data). Here, we present an overview of the rationale, design, ethical considerations and privacy strategy of `COVI,' a Covid-19 public peer-to-peer contact tracing and risk awareness mobile application developed in Canada.

2020-05-18

ArXiv (preprint)

Toward Trustworthy AI Development: Mechanisms for Supporting Verifiable Claims

Miles Brundage

Shahar Avin

Jasmine Wang

Haydn Belfield

Gretchen Krueger

Gillian K. Hadfield

Heidy Khlaaf

Jingying Yang

H. Toner

Ruth Catherine Fong

Pang Wei Koh

Sara Hooker

Jade Leung

Andrew John Trask

Emma Bluemke

Jonathan Lebensbold

Cullen C. O'keefe

Mark Koren

Th'eo Ryffel … (see 39 more)

JB Rubinovitz

Tamay Besiroglu

Federica Carugati

Jack Clark

Peter Eckersley

Sarah de Haas

Maritza L. Johnson

Ben Laurie

Alex Ingerman

Igor Krawczuk

Amanda Askell

Rosario Cammarota

A. Lohn

David Scott Krueger

Charlotte Stix

Peter Mark Henderson

Logan Graham

Carina E. A. Prunkl

Bianca Martin

Elizabeth Seger

Noa Zilberman

Sean O hEigeartaigh

Frens Kroeger

Girish Sastry

R. Kagan

Adrian Weller

Brian Shek-kam Tse

Elizabeth Barnes

Allan Dafoe

Paul D. Scharre

Ariel Herbert-Voss

Martijn Rasser

Shagun Sodhani

Carrick Flynn

Thomas Krendl Gilbert

Lisa Dyer

Saif M. Khan

Markus Anderljung

2020-04-15

ArXiv (preprint)

COVI White Paper-Version 1.1

Hannah Alsdurf

Prateek Gupta

Daphne Ippolito

Richard Janda

Max Jarvie

Tyler J. Kolody

Sekoul Krastev

Robert Obryk

Dan Pilat

Nasim Rahaman

Jean-franois Rousseau

Abhinav Sharma

Brooke Struck … (see 3 more)

Yun William Yu

The SARS-CoV-2 (Covid-19) pandemic has resulted in significant strain on health care and public health institutions around the world. Contac… (see more)t tracing is an essential tool for public health officials and local communities to change the course of the Covid-19 pandemic. Standard manual contact tracing of people infected with Covid-19, while the current gold standard, has significant challenges that limit the ability of public health authorities to minimize community infections. Personalized peer-to-peer contact tracing through the use of mobile applications has the potential to shift the paradigm of Covid-19 community spread. Although some countries have deployed centralized tracking systems through either GPS or Bluetooth, more privacy-protecting decentralized systems offer much of the same benefit without concentrating data in the hands of a state authority or in for-profit corporations. Additionally, machine learning methods can be used to circumvent some of the limitations of standard digital tracing by incorporating many clues (including medical conditions, self-reported symptoms, and numerous encounters with people at different risk levels, for different durations and distances) and their uncertainty into a more graded and precise estimation of infection and contagion risk. The estimated risk can be used to provide early risk awareness, personalized recommendations and relevant information to the user and connect them to health services. Finally, the non-identifying data about these risks can inform detailed epidemiological models trained jointly with the machine learning predictor, and these models can provide statistical evidence for the interaction and importance of different factors involved in the transmission of the disease. They can also be used to monitor, evaluate and optimize different health policy and confinement/deconfinement scenarios according to medical and economic productivity indicators. However, such a strategy based on mobile apps and machine learning should proactively mitigate potential ethical and privacy risks, which could have substantial impacts on society (not only impacts on health but also impacts such as stigmatization and abuse of personal data). Here, we present an overview of the rationale, design, ethical considerations and privacy strategy of ‘COVI,’ a Covid-19 public peer-to-peer contact tracing and risk awareness mobile application developed in Canada. Addendum 2020-07-14: The government of Canada has declined to endorse COVI and will be promoting a different app for decentralized contact tracing. In the interest of preventing fragmentation of the app landscape, COVI will therefore not be deployed to end users. We are currently still in the process of finalizing the project, and plan to release our code and models for academic consumption and to make them accessible to other States should they wish to deploy an app based on or inspired by said code and models. University of Ottawa, Mila, Université de Montréal, The Alan Turing Institute, University of Oxford, University of Pennsylvania, McGill University, Borden Ladner Gervais LLP, The Decision Lab, HEC Montréal, Max Planck Institute, Libéo, University of Toronto. Corresponding author general: richard.janda@mcgill.ca Corresponding author for public health: abhinav.sharma@mcgill.ca Corresponding author for privacy: ywyu@math.toronto.edu Corresponding author for machine learning: yoshua.bengio@mila.quebec Corresponding author for user perspective: brooke@thedecisionlab.com Corresponding author for technical implementation: jean-francois.rousseau@libeo.com 1 ar X iv :2 00 5. 08 50 2v 2 [ cs .C R ] 2 7 Ju l 2 02 0

Deep Learning recognizes weather and climate patterns

Karthik Kashinath

M. Prabhat

Mayur Mudigonda

Ankur Mahesh

Sookyung Kim

Yunjie Liu

Samira Ebrahimi Kahou

B. Toms

Evan Racah

Christopher Beckham

Chris Pal

Jim Biard

K. Kunkel

Dean Nesbit Williams

Travis O'Brien

M. Wehner

W. Collins

A Dataset and Exploration of Models for Understanding Video Data through Fill-in-the-Blank Question-Answering

Anna Rohrbach

While deep convolutional neural networks frequently approach or exceed human-level performance in benchmark tasks involving static images, e… (see more)xtending this success to moving images is not straightforward. Video understanding is of interest for many applications, including content recommendation, prediction, summarization, event/object detection, and understanding human visual perception. However, many domains lack sufficient data to explore and perfect video models. In order to address the need for a simple, quantitative benchmark for developing and understanding video, we present MovieFIB, a fill-in-the-blank question-answering dataset with over 300,000 examples, based on descriptive video annotations for the visually impaired. In addition to presenting statistics and a description of the dataset, we perform a detailed analysis of 5 different models predictions, and compare these with human performance. We investigate the relative importance of language, static (2D) visual features, and moving (3D) visual features, the effects of increasing dataset size, the number of frames sampled, and of vocabulary size. We illustrate that: this task is not solvable by a language model alone, our model combining 2D and 3D visual information indeed provides the best result, all models perform significantly worse than human-level. We provide human evaluation for responses given by different models and find that accuracy on the MovieFIB evaluation corresponds well with human judgment. We suggest avenues for improving video models, and hope that the MovieFIB challenge can be useful for measuring and encouraging progress in this very interesting field.

2017-07-21

2017 IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR) (published)

doi.org