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GAPS phase II: development and pilot results of the global assessment in pediatric surgery, an evidence-based pediatric surgical capacity assessment tool for low-resource settings.
Biological neural networks operate in parallel, a feature that sets them apart from artificial neural networks and can significantly enhance… (see more) inference speed. However, this parallelism introduces challenges: when each neuron operates asynchronously with a fixed execution time, an
Realtime environments change even as agents perform action inference and learning, thus requiring high interaction frequencies to effectivel… (see more)y minimize long-term regret. However, recent advances in machine learning involve larger neural networks with longer inference times, raising questions about their applicability in realtime systems where reaction time is crucial. We present an analysis of lower bounds on regret in realtime environments to show that minimizing long-term regret is generally impossible within the typical sequential interaction and learning paradigm, but often becomes possible when sufficient asynchronous compute is available. We propose novel algorithms for staggering asynchronous inference processes to ensure that actions are taken at consistent time intervals, and demonstrate that
use of models with high action inference times is only constrained by the environment's effective stochasticity over the inference horizon, and not by action frequency. Our analysis shows that the number of inference processes needed scales linearly with increasing inference times while enabling use of models that are multiple orders of magnitude larger than existing approaches when learning from a realtime simulation of Game Boy games such as Pokemon and Tetris.
Large Language Models (LLMs) are not only resource-intensive to train but even more costly to deploy in production. Therefore, recent work h… (see more)as attempted to prune blocks of LLMs based on cheap proxies for estimating block importance, effectively removing 10% of blocks in well-trained LLaMa-2 and Mistral 7b models without any significant degradation of downstream metrics. In this paper, we explore different block importance metrics by considering adaptive metrics such as Shapley value in addition to static ones explored in prior work. We show that *adaptive metrics exhibit a trade-off in performance between tasks i.e., improvement on one task may degrade performance on the other due to differences in the computed block influences*. Furthermore, we extend this analysis from a complete block to individual self-attention and feed-forward layers, highlighting the propensity of the self-attention layers to be more amendable to pruning, even allowing ***removal of upto 33% of the self-attention layers without incurring any performance degradation on MMLU for Mistral 7b*** (significant reduction in costly maintenance of KV-cache). Finally, we look at simple performance recovery techniques to emulate the pruned layers by training lightweight additive bias or low-rank linear adapters. *Performance recovery using emulated updates avoids performance degradation for the initial blocks (up to 5% absolute improvement on MMLU)*, which is either competitive or superior to the learning-based technique.
Large language models (LLMs) excel at few-shot in-context learning (ICL) -- learning from a few examples provided in context at inference, w… (see more)ithout any weight updates. Newly expanded context windows allow us to investigate ICL with hundreds or thousands of examples -- the many-shot regime. Going from few-shot to many-shot, we observe significant performance gains across a wide variety of generative and discriminative tasks. While promising, many-shot ICL can be bottlenecked by the available amount of human-generated examples. To mitigate this limitation, we explore two new settings: Reinforced and Unsupervised ICL. Reinforced ICL uses model-generated chain-of-thought rationales in place of human examples. Unsupervised ICL removes rationales from the prompt altogether, and prompts the model only with domain-specific questions. We find that both Reinforced and Unsupervised ICL can be quite effective in the many-shot regime, particularly on complex reasoning tasks. Finally, we demonstrate that, unlike few-shot learning, many-shot learning is effective at overriding pretraining biases and can learn high-dimensional functions with numerical inputs. Our analysis also reveals the limitations of next-token prediction loss as an indicator of downstream ICL performance.
A major challenge as we move towards building agents for real-world problems, which could involve a massive number of human and/or machine a… (see more)gents, is that we must learn to reason about the behavior of these many other agents. In this paper, we consider the problem of scaling a predictive Theory of Mind (ToM) model to a very large number of interacting agents with a fixed computational budget. Motivated by the limited diversity of agent types, existing approaches to scalable TOM learn versatile single-agent representations for quickly adapting to new agents encountered sequentially. We consider the more general setting that many agents are observed in parallel and formulate the corresponding Theory of Many Minds (ToMM) problem of estimating the joint policy. We frame the scaling behavior of solutions in terms of parameter sharing schemes and in particular propose two parameter-free architectural features that endow models with the ability to exploit action correlations: encoding a multi-agent context, and decoding through an abstracted joint action space. The increased predictive capabilities that have come with foundation models have made it easier to imagine the possibility of using these models to make simulations that imitate the behavior of many agents within complex real-world systems. Being able to perform these simulations in a general-purpose way would not only help make more capable agents, it also would be a very useful capability for applications in social science, political science, and economics.
In this paper, we use methods for assessing the quality of generative models and apply them to a problem from the physical sciences. We turn… (see more) our attention to astrophysics, where cosmological simulations are often used to create mock observations that mimic telescope images. These simulations and their mock observations are often slow and challenging to generate, inspiring some to use generative modeling to enhance the amount of data available to study. In this work, we add realism to simulated images of galaxy clusters and use probability mass estimation to assess their fidelity compared to reality. We find that the simulations are biased compared to real observations and suggest that researchers applying generative modeling to these systems should proceed with caution.
Machine learning (ML) may be oblivious to human bias but it is not immune to its perpetuation. Marginalisation and iniquitous group represen… (see more)tation are often traceable in the very data used for training, and may be reflected or even enhanced by the learning models. In this abstract, we aim to clarify the role played by data geometry in the emergence of ML bias. We introduce an exactly solvable high-dimensional model of data imbalance, where parametric control over the many bias-inducing factors allows for an extensive exploration of the bias inheritance mechanism. Through the tools of statistical physics, we analytically characterise the typical properties of learning models trained in this synthetic framework and obtain exact predictions for the observables that are commonly employed for fairness assessment. Simplifying the nature of the problem to its minimal components, we can retrace and unpack typical unfairness behaviour observed on real-world datasets