Oussama Boussif

oussama.boussif@mila.quebec

PhD - Université de Montréal

Supervisor

Co-supervisor

Publications

Improving *day-ahead* Solar Irradiance Time Series Forecasting by Leveraging Spatio-Temporal Context

Oussama Boussif

Ghait Boukachab

Dan Assouline

Stefano Massaroli

Tianle Yuan

Loubna Benabbou

Yoshua Bengio

Solar power harbors immense potential in mitigating climate change by substantially reducing CO…

openreview.net

What if We Enrich day-ahead Solar Irradiance Time Series Forecasting with Spatio-Temporal Context?

Oussama Boussif

Ghait Boukachab

Dan Assouline

Stefano Massaroli

Tianle Yuan

Loubna Benabbou

Yoshua Bengio

The global integration of solar power into the electrical grid could have a crucial impact on climate change mitigation, yet poses a challen… (see more)ge due to solar irradiance variability. We present a deep learning architecture which uses spatio-temporal context from satellite data for highly accurate day-ahead time-series forecasting, in particular Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI). We provide a multi-quantile variant which outputs a prediction interval for each time-step, serving as a measure of forecasting uncertainty. In addition, we suggest a testing scheme that separates easy and difficult scenarios, which appears useful to evaluate model performance in varying cloud conditions. Our approach exhibits robust performance in solar irradiance forecasting, including zero-shot generalization tests at unobserved solar stations, and holds great promise in promoting the effective use of solar power and the resulting reduction of CO

2023-07-28

ICML.cc/2023/Workshop/SynS_and_ML (published)

openreview.net