Victor Schmidt

Pierre-Luc St. Charles

Akshay Patel

David Buckeridge … (see 9 more)

Joumana Ghosn

Yang Zhang

Bernhard Schölkopf

Jian Tang

Irina Rish

Christopher Pal

Joanna Merckx

Eilif B. Muller

The rapid global spread of COVID-19 has led to an unprecedented demand for effective methods to mitigate the spread of the disease, and vari… (see more)ous digital contact tracing (DCT) methods have emerged as a component of the solution. In order to make informed public health choices, there is a need for tools which allow evaluation and comparison of DCT methods. We introduce an agent-based compartmental simulator we call COVI-AgentSim, integrating detailed consideration of virology, disease progression, social contact networks, and mobility patterns, based on parameters derived from empirical research. We verify by comparing to real data that COVI-AgentSim is able to reproduce realistic COVID-19 spread dynamics, and perform a sensitivity analysis to verify that the relative performance of contact tracing methods are consistent across a range of settings. We use COVI-AgentSim to perform cost-benefit analyses comparing no DCT to: 1) standard binary contact tracing (BCT) that assigns binary recommendations based on binary test results; and 2) a rule-based method for feature-based contact tracing (FCT) that assigns a graded level of recommendation based on diverse individual features. We find all DCT methods consistently reduce the spread of the disease, and that the advantage of FCT over BCT is maintained over a wide range of adoption rates. Feature-based methods of contact tracing avert more disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) per socioeconomic cost (measured by productive hours lost). Our results suggest any DCT method can help save lives, support re-opening of economies, and prevent second-wave outbreaks, and that FCT methods are a promising direction for enriching BCT using self-reported symptoms, yielding earlier warning signals and a significantly reduced spread of the virus per socioeconomic cost.

2020-10-01

OpenReview.net/Anonymous_Preprint (unknown)

doi.org

openreview.net

Image-to-image Mapping with Many Domains by Sparse Attribute Transfer

Matthew Amodio

2020-06-22

ArXiv (preprint)

Towards Lifelong Self-Supervision For Unpaired Image-to-Image Translation

Makesh Narsimhan Sreedhar

Mostafa Elaraby

Irina Rish

Unpaired Image-to-Image Translation (I2IT) tasks often suffer from lack of data, a problem which self-supervised learning (SSL) has recently… (see more) been very popular and successful at tackling. Leveraging auxiliary tasks such as rotation prediction or generative colorization, SSL can produce better and more robust representations in a low data regime. Training such tasks along an I2IT task is however computationally intractable as model size and the number of task grow. On the other hand, learning sequentially could incur catastrophic forgetting of previously learned tasks. To alleviate this, we introduce Lifelong Self-Supervision (LiSS) as a way to pre-train an I2IT model (e.g., CycleGAN) on a set of self-supervised auxiliary tasks. By keeping an exponential moving average of past encoders and distilling the accumulated knowledge, we are able to maintain the network's validation performance on a number of tasks without any form of replay, parameter isolation or retraining techniques typically used in continual learning. We show that models trained with LiSS perform better on past tasks, while also being more robust than the CycleGAN baseline to color bias and entity entanglement (when two entities are very close).

2020-03-30

ArXiv (preprint)

Modeling Cloud Reflectance Fields using Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks

Mustafa Alghali

We introduce a conditional Generative Adversarial Network (cGAN) approach to generate cloud reflectance fields (CRFs) conditioned on large s… (see more)cale meteorological variables such as sea surface temperature and relative humidity. We show that our trained model can generate realistic CRFs from the corresponding meteorological observations, which represents a step towards a data-driven framework for stochastic cloud parameterization.

2020-02-09

ArXiv (preprint)

Using Simulated Data to Generate Images of Climate Change

Gautier Cosne

Adrien Juraver

Mélisande Teng

Vahe Vardanyan

Alexandra Luccioni

Generative adversarial networks (GANs) used in domain adaptation tasks have the ability to generate images that are both realistic and perso… (see more)nalized, transforming an input image while maintaining its identifiable characteristics. However, they often require a large quantity of training data to produce high-quality images in a robust way, which limits their usability in cases when access to data is limited. In our paper, we explore the potential of using images from a simulated 3D environment to improve a domain adaptation task carried out by the MUNIT architecture, aiming to use the resulting images to raise awareness of the potential future impacts of climate change.

2020-01-25

ArXiv (preprint)

Artificial Intelligence Based Cloud Distributor (AI-CD): Probing Low Cloud Distribution with Generative Adversarial Neural Networks

T. Yuan

H. Song

David Hall

Kris Sankaran

2019-11-30

(published)

www.semanticscholar.org

Visualizing the Consequences of Climate Change Using Cycle-Consistent Adversarial Networks

Alexandra Luccioni

S. Karthik Mukkavilli

Narmada Balasooriya

Kris Sankaran

Jennifer T Chayes

We present a project that aims to generate images that depict accurate, vivid, and personalized outcomes of climate change using Cycle-Consi… (see more)stent Adversarial Networks (CycleGANs). By training our CycleGAN model on street-view images of houses before and after extreme weather events (e.g. floods, forest fires, etc.), we learn a mapping that can then be applied to images of locations that have not yet experienced these events. This visual transformation is paired with climate model predictions to assess likelihood and type of climate-related events in the long term (50 years) in order to bring the future closer in the viewers mind. The eventual goal of our project is to enable individuals to make more informed choices about their climate future by creating a more visceral understanding of the effects of climate change, while maintaining scientific credibility by drawing on climate model projections.

2019-05-01

ArXiv (preprint)