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Dan Assouline

Alumni

Publications

Improving *day-ahead* Solar Irradiance Time Series Forecasting by Leveraging Spatio-Temporal Context
Oussama Boussif
Ghait Boukachab
Dan Assouline
Stefano Massaroli
Tianle Yuan
Loubna Benabbou
Yoshua Bengio
Solar power harbors immense potential in mitigating climate change by substantially reducing CO…
openreview.net
What if We Enrich day-ahead Solar Irradiance Time Series Forecasting with Spatio-Temporal Context?
Oussama Boussif
Ghait Boukachab
Dan Assouline
Stefano Massaroli
Tianle Yuan
Loubna Benabbou
Yoshua Bengio
The global integration of solar power into the electrical grid could have a crucial impact on climate change mitigation, yet poses a challen… (see more)ge due to solar irradiance variability. We present a deep learning architecture which uses spatio-temporal context from satellite data for highly accurate day-ahead time-series forecasting, in particular Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI). We provide a multi-quantile variant which outputs a prediction interval for each time-step, serving as a measure of forecasting uncertainty. In addition, we suggest a testing scheme that separates easy and difficult scenarios, which appears useful to evaluate model performance in varying cloud conditions. Our approach exhibits robust performance in solar irradiance forecasting, including zero-shot generalization tests at unobserved solar stations, and holds great promise in promoting the effective use of solar power and the resulting reduction of CO
2023-07-28
ICML.cc/2023/Workshop/SynS_and_ML (published)
openreview.net
openreview.net
What if We Enrich day-ahead Solar Irradiance Time Series Forecasting with Spatio-Temporal Context?
Oussama Boussif
Ghait Boukachab
Dan Assouline
Stefano Massaroli
Tianle Yuan
Loubna Benabbou
Yoshua Bengio
2023-07-28
ICML.cc/2023/Workshop/SynS_and_ML (published)
doi.org
openreview.net
MAgNet: Mesh Agnostic Neural PDE Solver
Oussama Boussif
Dan Assouline
Loubna Benabbou
Yoshua Bengio
The computational complexity of classical numerical methods for solving Partial Differential Equations (PDE) scales significantly as the res… (see more)olution increases. As an important example, climate predictions require fine spatio-temporal resolutions to resolve all turbulent scales in the fluid simulations. This makes the task of accurately resolving these scales computationally out of reach even with modern supercomputers. As a result, current numerical modelers solve PDEs on grids that are too coarse (3km to 200km on each side), which hinders the accuracy and usefulness of the predictions. In this paper, we leverage the recent advances in Implicit Neural Representations (INR) to design a novel architecture that predicts the spatially continuous solution of a PDE given a spatial position query. By augmenting coordinate-based architectures with Graph Neural Networks (GNN), we enable zero-shot generalization to new non-uniform meshes and long-term predictions up to 250 frames ahead that are physically consistent. Our Mesh Agnostic Neural PDE Solver (MAgNet) is able to make accurate predictions across a variety of PDE simulation datasets and compares favorably with existing baselines. Moreover, MAgNet generalizes well to different meshes and resolutions up to four times those trained on.
openreview.net